Sunday, October 26, 2008

Election Post #5

Swinging states are important in the Presidential Election because they can tremendously change the outcome of who will win. Virginia, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio are four swinging states that are always closely watched during the Presidential Elections. The two states that I choose to discuss are Virginia, and Florida.
Virginia
So far the polls are showing Virginia as a swinging state from more conservative, to liberal. Records show that Virginia has voted Republican since the year 1964, with Lyndon Johnson. Many believe that Virginia will change due to a high turnout of registered voters in the Northern Virginia area. Some are saying that so far, atleast five million people in Virginia have registered to vote. Other political figures believe that Virginia will be the state that determines who will be the next President, and that is why both Obama and McCain have made numerous apperances in the state, and will continue until November 4th. I predict that Obama/Democratic party will win Virginia. I believe this will be the result because many more younger voters are speaking out and wanting change just like Obama is promising them.
Florida
Right now the polls are showing Obama and McCain in a similar spot. Both candidates are very close in the polls so these next couple days will be the turning point for either candidiate. Last election Florida leaned towards the Republican/Conservative side with President Bush. Now Florida's polls show that it is a close call. It is believed that McCain has north Florida which is in the South, where as Obama has the younger, thriving, cities and populations in the easteren and some southern such as Miami. To compare, most older citizens with more conservative and more traditional views live in the Southern areas of Florida probably will continue to side with McCain, while the younger aged citizens who livein the most thirving, busy, parts of Florida will have more liberal views and will side with Obama. Alhtough the polls show that the race is close between McCain and Obama, I think in the long run the older population/more conservatives will side with McCain thus resulting in his win of the state.

1 comment:

Carrie Kurtz said...

great minds think alike...haha. well i guess what i mean is i talked about FL as well. i mentioned how the state went for Bush in the past and will most likely side Republican once again. the only downfall i talked about was McCain's lack of drive to get more voters. i feel he is taking it easy and slacking off on this part of the campaign trail. considering most the beach going populations are young and very liberal i think Obama definitely has a clear chance. we'll see if he can pull through!